Description
INTRODUCTION
INDIAN MADE FOREIGN LIQUOR:
COUNTRY LIQUOR:
BEER:
FOREIGN LIQUOR BOTTLED IN ORIGIN (BIO):
WINE:
INDIAN LIQUOR INDUSTRY IS DIVIDED INTO TWO BROAD CATEGORIES
LEGAL ENVIRONMENT
CUSTOM & DUTIES
SOCIAL ENVIRONMENT
WESTERN CULTURE INFLUENCE
PROHIBITION IN INDIA
THREAT OF NEW ENTRANTS
BARGAINING POWER OF CUSTOMERS
BARGAINING POWER OF SUPPLIERS
PREDICTIONS REGARDING RAW MATERIALS
RIVALRY
ETHYL AND METHYL ALCOHOLS
ETYL ALCOHOL (ETHANOL)
ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGE
THERE ARE A LARGE VARIETY OF ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES
OTHER FORMS OF ALCOHOL
DIFFERENT ALCOHOLIC DRINK
WHISKY
RUM
3. BRANDY
4. VODKA
5. BEER
6. GIN
WHISKY
TYPES OF WHISKY:
USES AND APPLICATIONS
CHARACTERISTICS OF THE INDIAN LIQUOR MARKET
FACTORS INFLUENCING THE GROWTH OF ALCOHOL INDUSTRY IN INDIA
URBANIZATION:
FAVOURABLE DEMOGRAPHICS:
CHANGING SOCIAL NORMS:
INCREASED ALCOHOL ACCESSIBILITY AND AVAILABILITY:
STRATEGIES FOR PROMOTION AND ADVERTISEMENT OF ALCOHOL PRODUCTS
SURROGATE ADVERTISING OF ALCOHOL PRODUCTS:
SPONSORSHIP OF EVENTS:
PROMOTION AND THE ENTERTAINMENT INDUSTRY:
ATTRACTIVE PACKAGING AND LABELING OF ALCOHOL PRODUCTS:
NEWER PROMOTION CHANNELS:
LIQUOR MARKET IN INDIA
ALCOHOL COMPANIES AND THEIR MAJOR BRANDS IN INDIA
MARKET OVERVIEW OF IMFL (INDIA MADE FOREIGN LIQUOR)
1. AT AN INFLECTION POINT
INITIATE BUY; 50% POTENTIAL UPSIDE FROM CMP
2. INVESTMENT THESIS
2.1 INVESTMENT POSITIVES–OPPORTUNITY TO RE-RATE
RDCK’S CURRENT VALUATION DOES NOT TRULY REFLECT ITS PREMIUM POSITIONING
PREMIUM PORTFOLIO EXPANDING
PREMIUM VODKA AND BRANDY BRANDS ALREADY POSITIONED STRONGLY
PREMIUM BRANDING AIMED AT OFFERING A WIDER PRODUCT PORTFOLIO AND WIDEN CUSTOMER BASE
MARKET SHARE GAINS GOING FORWARD
PREMIUM MARKET TO OUTPERFORM REGULAR MARKET GROWTH
VERTICAL INTEGRATION TRANSFORMED THE COMPANY
TRANSFORMATION INTO A PREMIUM LIQUOR COMPANY FROM A BULK PRODUCER
SCOPE OF RE-RATING ON CONSISTENT MARKET SHARE GAINS IN PREMIUM SEGMENT
25% EPS CAGR, IMPROVEMENT IN RETURN RATIOS
2.2 INVESTMENT NEGATIVES
STRINGENT LAWS MAKE LIFE TOUGH
HIGHLY REGULATED INDUSTRY
PROHIBITION HAS MADE A COMEBACK IN THE POLITICAL VOCABULARY
– KERALA AND BIHAR HAVE ANNOUNCED PHASED PROHIBITION
PROHIBITION RELATED UNCERTAINTIES
VOLUMES TO BE IMPACTED IN SHORT TERM
ALMOST NO PRICE HIKES HAVE COME THROUGH IN THE PAST 18-24 MONTHS
FROM STATES WITH PRICE CONTROLS
PRICE HIKE IN THE HANDS OF GOVERNMENT BODIES
GST IMPACT COULD HAVE A NEGATIVE MARGIN IMPACT
RISK FOR MARGINS POST GST
HIGHER TAXES FOR LIQUOR COMPANIES
3. RDCK’S PREMIUMISATION STRATEGY HAS BEEN SUCCESSFUL
STRONG SUCCESS IN MAGIC MOMENTS, POSITIVE EARLY SIGNS
ON MORPHEUS BRANDY
PREMIUMISATION IS THE KEY CATALYST TO MARGIN IMPROVEMENT
TRANSFORMING TO PREMIUM FROM BULK
MAGIC MOMENTS GIVING COMPETITION A TOUGH TIME
RDCK IS A LEADER IN THE DOMESTIC VODKA MARKET
FOCUSING ON BRANDY SEGMENT TO AUGMENT MARKET SHARE
TARGETING BRANDY MARKET AS WELL
MORE BRAND LAUNCHES
NINE BRAND LAUNCHES SINCE 2006
4. PRICING OUTLOOK MORE POSITIVE
GOVERNMENT CONTROLLED DISTRIBUTION
SOME PRICE HIKES IN RECENT TIMES
TREND OF LOWERING OF TAXES ON LIQUOR IN SOME STATES
OVERALL POSITIVE OUTLOOK
5. COMPETITIVE DYNAMICS
FOURTH LARGEST PLAYER IN VOLUME TERMS
RDCK’S VOLUMES STAND AT 18.2MCS, 6.4% MARKET SHARE
6. WELL POSITIONED TO CAPITALIZE ON RISING PREMIUM IMFL CONSUMPTION
INDIAN SPIRITS MARKET ON GROWTH TRAJECTORY
6.1 INDIAN SPIRITS MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH OPPORTUNITY
MARKET SALES VALUE GROWTH –6.3% CAGR FY16-20E
KEY TRENDS:
6.2 STRUCTURAL CHANGES IN THE INDUSTRY MAKES INDIAN SPIRITS
MARKET MORE ATTRACTIVE
ENTRY OF GLOBAL MAJORS
SHIFT FROM VOLUME GROWTH TO VALUE GROWTH
INCREASING PREMIUMISATION–IMPROVING PRODUCT-MIX
6.3 VODKA TO OUTPERFORM OVERALL IMFL GROWTH IN THE COMING YEARS
POTENTIAL MARKET GROWTH FOR WHITE SPIRITS (VODKA) AN OPPORTUNITY
FOR RDCK
WHITE SPIRITS IS JUST 3.5% OF ALCOHOL VOLUME IN INDIA (VS 47% GLOBALLY)
6.4 KEY DRIVERS FOR GROWTH OF LIQUOR CONSUMPTION IN INDIA
INCOME GROWTH
ATTRACTIVE DEMOGRAPHICS
UNDERPENETRATED MARKET
6.5 RURAL CONSUMPTION TO GROW 3.8X AND TIER 2 & BELOW CITIES
TO GROW 4.4X BY 2025
7.0 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
7.1 REVENUE TO RISE 5% IN FY18, 6% IN FY19
BRANDED IMFL 73% OF REVENUE; CONTRIBUTION OF COUNTRY LIQUOR,
BULK SPIRITS ON THE DECLINE
REVENUE CAGR OF 6% FY17-20E
EXPECT SALES CAGR OF 6% OVER FY17-19E
WE EXPECT RDCK’S SALES TO GROW AT A CAGR OF 6% OVER FY17-19E
DRIVEN BY:
MANUFACTURING PROCESS OF IMFL BOTTLING PLANT
PROCESS FLOW DIAGRAM FOR IMFL BOTTLING PLANT
PROCESS DESCRIPTION
DETAILED PROCESS DESCRIPTION
1. ALCOHOL MASS METERING SYSTEM (SPIRIT CONCENTRATION METER)
2. RECEPTION SYSTEM FOR ALCOHOL/WATER MIXTURES
3. BLENDING SYSTEM FOR ALCOHOL/WATER MIXTURES
4. WATER DEAERATION SYSTEM
5. FILTRATION SYSTEMS
6. EQUIPMENT FOR STORAGE TANK FACILITIES
7. BATCH MIXING SYSTEM
8. CONTINUOUS IN-LINE BLENDING SYSTEM,
9. COMBINED BLENDING SYSTEM
10. CARBONATION AND BEVERAGE ANALYSIS
11. MOBILE METERING UNITS
12. PRODUCT TRACING FOR INTERNAL DOCUMENTATION BY MEANS OF
13. CLEANING SYSTEM
PACKAGING
PACKING STANDARDS:
GREEN COLOURED BEER BOTTLES
CLEAR COLOURED BORDEUX BEER BOTTLES
STANDARD CAPACITY OF LIQUOR BOTTLES
PACKAGING REQUIREMENT:
SWOT ANALYSIS OF ALCOHOL INDUSTRY
STRENGTHS:
WEAKNESSES:
OPPORTUNITIES:
THREATS:
LIST OF MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENTS USED IN ALCOHALIC BEVERAGES PLANT
MULTI-TUBE COAXIAL HEAT PASTEURIZER
ACCESSORIES
BALANCE TANK
PASTEURIZER FEED PUMP
HOT WATER PREPARATION SYSTEM
MULTI COAXIAL HEAT EXCHANGER/ HOLDING TUBES
HOT WATER RECIRCULATION PUMP
CIP SYSTEM (FULLY AUTOMATIC)
CIP SYSTEM CAN BE CONFIGURED WITH THE FOLLOWING OPTIONS
TO SPECIFIC NEEDS
ONLINE DUPLEX FILTER
ROTARY BOTTLE RINSING MACHINE
UNI BLOCK FILLING AND CAP SEALING MACHINE
SLAT CHAIN CONVEYOR
INSPECTION CONVEYOR
ROTARY LABELING MACHINE
CASE PACKER MACHINE
AUTOMATIC CARTON SEALER MODEL
PROCESS FLOW CHART OF ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES PROCESSING PLANT
SCHEMATIC FLOW DIAGRAM OF “ALCOHOLIC DRINK BOTTLING PLANT”
B.I.S. SPECIFICATIONS
RECTIFIED SPIRIT
IS 324 – 1956
346 – 1952
IS – 321 – 1964
IS – 6613 – 1972
PRODUCTION OF BRANDY
COMPONENTS OF BRANDY:-
ETHYL ALCOHOL:-
OTHER ALCOHOLS:
METHYL ALCOHOL (WOOD ALCOHOL):-
ALDEHYDES:-
ESTERS:-
COLUMN STILLS:-
CONDENSERS:-
PRODUCTION OF RUM
TYPES OF RUM AND THE RAW MATERIALS:
PRETREATMENT OF RAW MATERIAL:-
FERMENTATION:-
1. FERMENTATION TEMPERATURE:-
(2) PH VALUE:-
(3) FERMENTATION TIME :-
(4) YEAST :-
THE BEST YEAST ARE FROM MOLASSES.
DISTILLATION:-
CONTINUOUS DISTILLATION:-
MATURING:
PRODUCTION OF SPIRIT FOR GIN
RAW MATERIAL:
PRODUCTION FROM GRAIN:
1 COOKING:-
CONVERSION:
FERMENTATION:-
MANUFACTURING PROCESS OF WHISKY
(B) ACIDIC FERMENTATION:
3. BOTTLING:
VODKA:
TREATMENT METHODS
MANUFACTURERS OF ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES
LIST OF IMFL/LIQUOR MANUFACTURER IN INDIA
SUPPLIERS OF RAW MATERIALS
ENA
GLASS BOTTLES
SUPPLIERS OF PLANT AND MACHINERY
SUPPLIERS OF COMPLETE PLANT AND MACHINERY
SUPPLIERS OF PLANT AND EQUIPMENTS
COLUMN
CONDENSER
BOTTLE FILLING MACHINE
BOTTLE SEALING MACHINE
BOTTLE WASHING MACHINE
LABELLING MACHINE
CONVEYOR BELT
STAINLESS STEEL TANKS
PLANT LAYOUT
APPENDIX – A:
01. PLANT ECONOMICS
02. LAND & BUILDING
03. PLANT AND MACHINERY
04. OTHER FIXED ASSESTS
05. FIXED CAPITAL
06. RAW MATERIAL
07. SALARY AND WAGES
08. UTILITIES AND OVERHEADS
09. TOTAL WORKING CAPITAL
10. TOTAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT
11. COST OF PRODUCTION
12. TURN OVER/ANNUM
13. BREAK EVEN POINT
14. RESOURCES FOR FINANCE
15. INSTALMENT PAYABLE IN 5 YEARS
16. DEPRECIATION CHART FOR 5 YEARS
17. PROFIT ANALYSIS FOR 5 YEARS
18. PROJECTED BALANCE SHEET FOR (5 YEARS)